As we gear up for the 2024 MLB season, it’s time to evaluate how teams have fared during the offseason in reshaping their rosters for the challenges that lie ahead. While some franchises have successfully bolstered their lineups and pitching rotations, others find themselves on a downward trajectory for various reasons. This analysis focuses on the top 5 teams whose prospects for a playoff spot, division title, or World Series have taken a substantial hit compared to the previous year.
Before delving into the rankings, it’s crucial to note that these assessments primarily consider a team’s on-the-field major league product. While some organizations may have made moves benefiting their overall structure, the focus here is on those whose competitive edge has diminished. Additionally, outstanding free agents are considered “losses” for their previous teams, even if re-signing remains a possibility.
Now, let’s explore the top 5 decliners from the 2024 MLB offseason:
5. Texas Rangers
The defending 2023 World Series champions, the Texas Rangers, face a challenging offseason marked by injuries, free-agent departures, and uncertainties in their pitching rotation. Despite returning offensive firepower, the loss of key pitchers like Martín Pérez, Will Smith, and Chris Stratton to free agency, along with Max Scherzer’s expected absence due to surgery recovery, poses significant challenges. The Rangers’ ability to re-sign southpaw Jordan Montgomery could be crucial for their pitching depth and playoff aspirations.
4. Minnesota Twins
After winning their first playoff game in nearly two decades, the Minnesota Twins have had a lackluster offseason, characterized by a dearth of significant additions. Reliever Josh Staumont stands as their sole notable signing, while the majority of their rotation has departed, including Kenta Maeda and Tyler Mahle in free agency. The Twins’ approach has been neutral, resulting in a downgrade, especially considering the competitive nature of their division.
3. Toronto Blue Jays
The Toronto Blue Jays’ offseason has been marked by missed opportunities in signing impactful free agents, contributing to their ranking as a significant decliner. While the sting of missing out on Shohei Ohtani may not be the sole factor, the Blue Jays’ inability to secure big signings raises concerns about their competitiveness in the highly contested AL East. Limited additions like Kevin Kiermaier and Isiah Kiner-Falefa may not be sufficient to secure a playoff spot in 2024.
2. Los Angeles Angels
The Los Angeles Angels’ offseason woes are underscored by the departure of Shohei Ohtani and a controversial strategy that led to shedding key players, including Lucas Giolito and Hunter Renfroe, to stay under the luxury tax. With a diminished farm system and the absence of significant replacements for Ohtani, the Angels face challenges in remaining competitive. Low-cost signings like Luis García, Willie Calhoun, and Zach Plesac may not compensate for the loss of their best hitter and pitcher.
1. San Diego Padres
The San Diego Padres top the list of decliners following a transformative offseason that saw the blockbuster trade of Juan Soto to the New York Yankees. While the return package was commendable, the void left in the lineup is substantial. Additionally, free agency losses in the pitching staff, including Blake Snell, Michael Wacha, Seth Lugo, Nick Martinez, and Josh Hader, pose significant challenges. The departure of manager Bob Melvin adds to the considerable changes, signaling a shift from the team’s 2023 championship aspirations. Although the Padres have made strategic moves, their losses in key areas make them the biggest fallers of the offseason.
As the MLB offseason unfolds rapidly, these rankings reflect the current state of these teams. However, the dynamic nature of baseball transactions means that shifts and additions may alter the landscape. Stay tuned for our analysis of the top 5 risers in the upcoming days, providing a more optimistic outlook amid the offseason transformations.
